Luck vs Mourinho Masterclass - A Statistical Breakdown of Tottenham's Win Over Manchester City

​Goals from Steven Bergwijn and Son Heung-min helped Tottenham secure a 2-0 victory over ten-man Manchester City on Sunday evening.

Immediately after the game, two schools of thought began to form surrounding exactly how Spurs had managed to achieve such a feat.

​​The first, is that José Mourinho's team should really be jailed for the daylight robbery they committed at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

The second - largely trumpeted by Mourinho himself - is that it was yet another tactical masterclass from the 'Special One' over his old foe Pep Guardiola.

But what really happened? Was it luck or was it fine judgement from the Portuguese? Well we here at 90min, with the help of some tasty stats from the guys at Opta, are going to try to find out.


Luck?

​City's Finishing Blues

Sergio Aguero

The first thing that tells you that ​Spurs may have had fortune on their side, is the shot count from Sunday's match.

​Manchester City had 18 shots to their hosts three, and still somehow managed to end up losing the game by two goals to nil.

It was the first time during Pep Guardiola's tenure that the Cityzens had gone consecutive games without scoring, after they also drew a blank against ​Manchester United in midweek.

​Sergio Aguero​Raheem Sterling and Ilkay Gundogan were all particularly guilty of wasting the kind of opportunities you'd back even ​Christian Benteke to score.


Zinchenk-noooooo!

Oleksandr Zinchenko

Another thing that went in the hosts' favour, was the inexplicable red card Oleksandr Zinchenko picked up with the game at 0-0.

After stupidly receiving a first yellow card for getting involved in a scuffle that had nothing to do with him, the Ukrainian then cynically brought down a counter-attacking Harry Winks right in front of Mike Dean.

It was the third red card that Man City have received this season - more than any other Premier League club - and without doubt the dumbest.

José Mourinho is clearly a gifted man, but mind control surely isn't one of his many talents. Zinchenko's moment of madness had nothing to do with the former ​Chelsea boss.


Not Paying the Penalty

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VAR drama aside for one second (thank God!), Manchester City have a serious problem when it comes to spot kicks.

They've now missed four of their last six across all competitions, despite having tried out three different takers (Sterling, ​Gabriel Jesus and Gundogan).

Only local rivals Manchester United have missed more since the start of last season, making it even more baffling that Sergio Aguero - who's scored his last nine - didn't take the penalty on the day.

Spurs could well argue that Hugo Lloris had a big part to play in this, given that the Frenchman has kept out three of the last four pens he's faced. But, when it comes to penalties there's always a degree of luck - just ask the England national teams of the 90s.


Judgement

José Beats Pep... Again​

Pep Guardiola,Jose Mourinho

Sunday's result was José Mourinho's sixth win over Pep Guardiola, and after that many victories can you really call it luck?

Only Jurgen Klopp has more ​victories over Guardiola, with eight, but what makes the Special One's record even more unique is that he's done it with four different clubs (​Inter Milan​Real Madrid, Manchester United and Spurs) compared to Klopp's two (​Borussia Dortmund and ​Liverpool).

Despite claiming that the match wasn't about the managers at all in his pre-match conference, Mourinho's inner troll will be absolutely delighted with another win against his old foe.

For Pep, it was a sixth loss of the season in the Premier League - his joint most-ever with Manchester City. Having it occur against the man who once poked his assistant coach in the eye will probably have hurt that little bit more.


Bergwijn Shines

Sunday marked a first outing for Spurs' new signing Steven Bergwijn. Sporting the number 23 that was still warm after the departure of ​Christian Eriksen to Inter Milan last week, the 22 year-old marked the occasion by becoming the 250th player to score on his Premier League debut, and the 13th Dutchman to do so.

Mourinho's tactical gameplan was set up to get the best out of players like him and fellow goalscorer ​Son Heung-min, who hit City on the break with devastating efficiency.

Son's goal marked his fifth in all competitions against the Pep Guardiola's side since the start of 2016/17 - only Jamie Vardy has more (six) - as the South Korean profited from his side's conservative approach.

You could argue that Mourinho was forced into this playing style by the injury to ​Harry Kane. But then again, after the result, he'd probably disagree with you.


Mourinho's Masterclass

FBL-ENG-PR-TOTTENHAM-MAN CITY

As previously mentioned, Spurs' approach to the game was to sit deep and try to use the pace of their attackers to hit the reigning English champions on the break.

This can be seen perfectly through the touch map of Japhet Tanganga. Making only his third ever Premier League appearance, the 20-year-old took just 13 of his 52 touches in the opposition half, as he was instructed to sit deep and keep Raheem Sterling at bay.

It is the antithesis of the type of swashbuckling football we were used to seeing from Spurs' full-backs at the height of the Mauricio Pochettino era.

Sure, having just 32% possession despite playing a third of the game with an extra man might be about as pretty on the eye as a Big Sam calendar shoot, but it was effective.


Verdict

​With all the things that went in Tottenham's favour, you would probably have to say that they got a bit lucky on the day.

But, that said, José Mourinho was not brought in to restore the kind of dominant football Spurs were used to seeing under Mauricio Pochettino.

He was brought in to achieve results, and with Spurs' first win over Manchester City since 2016, you can't argue that he didn't manage that on Sunday.



Source : 90min